TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Preston vs H. Crinebouch (Paris on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with T. Preston favoured at 1.00.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Preston | H. Crinebouch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.6% | 48.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.8% | 40.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.7% | 44.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
94.4% | 5.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Preston | hard | 1773 | 139–62 | 201 |
| H. Crinebouch | clay | 1206 | 4–7 | 11 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
T. Preston leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Paris | clay | T. Preston | 2 - 0 |
| W | M. Inglis | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | P. Hon | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Dart | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Kaji | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Pistola | 0 - 2 | May 29, 2026 |
| W | I. Marinkovic | 1 - 2 | May 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 2 - 0 | May 11, 2026 |
| L | E. Seibold | 0 - 2 | May 5, 2026 |
| L | A. Firman | 2 - 0 | March 20, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used