TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Inglis vs A. Zakharova (Paris on 2026-05-11) — the market is efficient, with A. Zakharova favoured at 1.23.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Inglis | A. Zakharova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.3% | 64.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.1% | 78.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.7% | 71.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.5% | 76.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Inglis | hard | 1671 | 154–102 | 256 |
| A. Zakharova | hard | 1771 | 168–89 | 257 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Paris | clay | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 6, 2025 | Cincinnati | hard | M. Inglis | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | H. Vandewinkel | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
All May 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used