TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Lepchenko vs V. Golubic (Parma on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with V. Golubic favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Lepchenko | V. Golubic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.7% | 29.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.1% | 42.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.8% | 36.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.4% | 76.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Lepchenko | hard | 1587 | 91–76 | 167 |
| V. Golubic | hard | 1724 | 118–68 | 186 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
V. Golubic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Parma | clay | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Jones | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Ngounoue | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | E. Avanesyan | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | A. Petkovic | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used