TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Bosio vs D. Yastremska (Parma on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with D. Yastremska favoured at 1.11.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Bosio | D. Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.4% | 42.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.4% | 28.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.7% | 39.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.2% | 36.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.6% | 84.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bosio | clay | 1464 | 89–61 | 150 |
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1707 | 86–81 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
D. Yastremska leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Parma | clay | D. Yastremska | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Alves | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Egorova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Romero | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Estevez | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Ayala | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used