TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Hon vs S. Bandecchi (Parma on 2026-05-12) — the market is efficient, with S. Bandecchi favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Hon | S. Bandecchi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.5% | 71.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Hon | hard | 1628 | 144–83 | 227 |
| S. Bandecchi | hard | 1628 | 96–65 | 161 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
S. Bandecchi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Parma | clay | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Schoppe | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. K. Thandi | 1 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All May 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used