TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Tomljanovic (moneyline) in T. Valentova vs A. Tomljanovic (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Valentova | A. Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
21.7% | 78.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.4% | 48.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.5% | 53.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Valentova | hard | 1814 | 74–23 | 97 |
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
T. Valentova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Townsend | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Joint | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Hon | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus identifies a 3.7% edge on A. Tomljanovic, primarily driven by a massive Elo disparity (78% raw win probability) that suggests a significant class gap. While Tomljanovic enters with high fatigue (7 matches in 14 days), the Market-Elo Trend indicates bookmakers have not fully adjusted to her recent surge in form, rendering the 1.77 odds valuable. Valentova's low Elo (1544) and inconsistent form make her an unreliable underdog to exploit the fatigue factor.