TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Kalinina (moneyline) in M. Kessler vs A. Kalinina (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kessler | A. Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.9% | 48.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.4% | 64.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.0% | 43.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kessler | grass | 1666 | 10–9 | 19 |
| A. Kalinina | grass | 1597 | 16–16 | 32 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.
M. Kessler leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 2 - 0 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 1 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →