M. Kessler vs A. Kalinina — Prediction & Analysis

Eastbourne · WTA Eastbourne - 1/8-finals · June 24, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Kalinina (moneyline) in M. Kessler vs A. Kalinina (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24).

Surface grass Odds M. Kessler 1.66 · A. Kalinina 2.20

Bot bet

A. Kalinina (moneyline) · 2.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Kessler · A. Kalinina · head-to-head record · Eastbourne

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Kessler A. Kalinina
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
51.9% 48.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
35.4% 64.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
43.6% 56.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
57.0% 43.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Kessler grass1666 10–919
A. Kalinina grass1597 16–1632

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.

Head to head

M. Kessler leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 24, 2026EastbournegrassM. Kessler2 - 0

Recent form

M. Kessler

L E. Alexandrova 0 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L C. McNally 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026
L A. Kalinskaya 2 - 1 Aug. 4, 2026
W C. Brace 2 - 0 Aug. 3, 2026
L R. Zarazua 2 - 0 July 29, 2026

A. Kalinina

L J. Paolini 2 - 0 Oct. 20, 2026
L A. Sasnovich 0 - 0 Oct. 18, 2026
W S. Waltert 2 - 1 Oct. 17, 2026
L S. Kartal 0 - 2 Oct. 12, 2026
L J. Tjen 2 - 1 Sept. 30, 2026

All June 24, 2026 results & picks →

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