TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Fery vs J. M. Cerundolo (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Fery favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fery | J. M. Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
85.3% | 14.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.3% | 25.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
75.8% | 24.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.4% | 32.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fery | hard | 1722 | 118–49 | 167 |
| J. M. Cerundolo | clay | 1838 | 205–111 | 316 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
J. M. Cerundolo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kolar | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used