TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. A. Tirante vs C. Norrie (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with C. Norrie favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. A. Tirante | C. Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.0% | 30.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.4% | 39.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.9% | 37.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.0% | 57.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
| C. Norrie | hard | 1843 | 125–89 | 214 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Rome | clay | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 0 |
| April 26, 2026 | Madrid | clay | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used