TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Xin. Wang vs A. Eala (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with A. Eala favoured at 1.79.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Xin. Wang | A. Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.9% | 27.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.0% | 58.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.7% | 40.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.0% | 54.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | A. Eala | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 10, 2026 | WTA Auckland | hard | Xin. Wang | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Pareja | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used