TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. C. Grant vs V. Mboko (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with V. Mboko favoured at 1.34.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. C. Grant | V. Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.5% | 35.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
75.5% | 24.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.0% | 30.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.9% | 71.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. C. Grant | clay | 1709 | 50–24 | 74 |
| V. Mboko | hard | 2038 | 98–34 | 132 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
| L | M. Trevisan | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | H. Tan | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Garland | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 1 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 1 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 2 - 1 | May 28, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | May 23, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used