TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Zhang vs K. Muchova (Berlin on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with K. Muchova favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Zhang | K. Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
25.8% | 74.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zhang | hard | 1727 | 111–88 | 199 |
| K. Muchova | hard | 2060 | 106–43 | 149 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
K. Muchova leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 |
| June 16, 2026 | Berlin | grass | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 |
| June 30, 2021 | Wimbledon | grass | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Ruse | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Gauff | 2 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used