TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Svitolina vs A. Kalinskaya (Berlin on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with E. Svitolina favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | A. Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.0% | 28.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.2% | 31.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 2004 | 91–52 | 143 |
| A. Kalinskaya | hard | 1880 | 126–78 | 204 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
E. Svitolina leads 4–1 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Berlin | grass | E. Svitolina | 1 - 0 |
| Feb. 11, 2026 | WTA Doha | hard | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 2, 2025 | Montreal | hard | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 16, 2025 | Dubai | hard | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| May 12, 2024 | WTA Rome | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | Walk Over | June 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Tjen | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Bencic | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used