TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Siniakova vs R. Masarova (Berlin on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with K. Siniakova favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Siniakova | R. Masarova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.8% | 51.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.9% | 52.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.8% | 42.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Siniakova | hard | 1822 | 101–77 | 178 |
| R. Masarova | hard | 1641 | 85–62 | 147 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 18, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Berlin | grass | K. Siniakova | 2 - 0 |
| May 1, 2025 | Vic | clay | R. Masarova | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Samsonova | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | R. Masarova | 2 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | V. Ryser | 1 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Monnet | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Curmi | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 1 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used