TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Tauson vs D. Parry (Berlin on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with D. Parry favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Tauson | D. Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.0% | 64.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.0% | 30.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.4% | 58.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.0% | 55.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
D. Parry leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Berlin | grass | D. Parry | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 18, 2024 | WTA Osaka | hard | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | N. Hibino | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used