TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Montgomery vs L. Boskovic (Makarska on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with R. Montgomery favoured at 1.47.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Montgomery | L. Boskovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.5% | 38.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.3% | 30.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
54.0% | 46.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.6% | 38.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.0% | 38.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1608 | 70–47 | 117 |
| L. Boskovic | clay | 1499 | 88–83 | 171 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2025.
L. Boskovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | Makarska | clay | L. Boskovic | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | Walk Over | June 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Cherubini | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | E. Vedder | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | L. Karatancheva | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Lim | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used