TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Palicova vs L. Ciric Bagaric (Makarska on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with B. Palicova favoured at 1.65.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Palicova | L. Ciric Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.0% | 58.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.7% | 61.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
26.8% | 73.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.8% | 64.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.8% | 44.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Palicova | clay | 1518 | 95–80 | 175 |
| L. Ciric Bagaric | clay | 1444 | 98–74 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3, 2026 | Makarska | clay | B. Palicova | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 1, 2024 | ITF W75 Cordenons Women | clay | L. Ciric Bagaric | 1 - 0 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | N. Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Tsygourova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Parcelli | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | R. Gailis | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. S. Popa | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | A. Monnot | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | A. K. Toth | Walk Over | July 18, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used