TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Sramkova vs T. Wurth (Makarska on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with R. Sramkova favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Sramkova | T. Wurth |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.5% | 22.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.5% | 33.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.4% | 24.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sramkova | hard | 1703 | 89–75 | 164 |
| T. Wurth | clay | 1562 | 100–59 | 159 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
R. Sramkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 9, 2026 | WTA Billie Jean King Cup - Group I | — | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Ansari | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | E. Korokozidi | 0 - 2 | May 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Zucchini | 1 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | May 13, 2026 |
| W | L. S. Steur J. | 1 - 2 | April 26, 2026 |
| W | G. Maduzzi | 0 - 2 | April 25, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used