TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Kawa vs M. Joint (Makarska on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with M. Joint favoured at 1.63.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Kawa | M. Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.7% | 32.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.5% | 33.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.6% | 56.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
M. Joint leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | Makarska | clay | M. Joint | 2 - 0 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | S. Waltert | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | Y. Starodubtseva | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Grubor | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | W. Osuigwe | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used