TennisEdge's AI bot is backing P. Carreno-Busta (moneyline) in R. Jodar vs P. Carreno-Busta (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Jodar | P. Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.4% | 42.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.4% | 43.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.4% | 27.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jodar | grass | 1659 | 5–2 | 7 |
| P. Carreno-Busta | grass | 1504 | 5–7 | 12 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.
R. Jodar leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Jodar | 3 - 2 |
| May 31, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Jodar | 3 - 2 |
| L | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| L | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 1 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 1 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Navone | 1 - 2 | Oct. 8, 2026 |
All July 1, 2026 results & picks →