Q. Halys vs M. Giron — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 2, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Giron (moneyline) in Q. Halys vs M. Giron (Wimbledon on 2026-07-02).

Surface grass Odds Q. Halys 1.88 · M. Giron 1.88

Bot bet

M. Giron (moneyline) · 1.0u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: Q. Halys · M. Giron · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method Q. Halys M. Giron
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
45.6% 54.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
35.5% 64.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
33.8% 66.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
41.6% 58.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
50.0% 50.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
Q. Halys grass1596 18–1634
M. Giron grass1669 30–2656

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 2, 2026.

Head to head

M. Giron leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 2, 2026WimbledongrassM. Giron3 - 0

Recent form

Q. Halys

L L. Sonego 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L T. Paul 2 - 0 Nov. 5, 2026
W F. Tiafoe 2 - 1 Nov. 4, 2026
W A. Fery 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Rune 2 - 1 Oct. 26, 2026

M. Giron

L A. Shelbayh 1 - 2 Nov. 12, 2026
W M. Kasnikowski 2 - 1 Nov. 11, 2026
L C. Chidekh 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W J. Boulais 2 - 1 Nov. 4, 2026
W D. Dietrich 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026

All July 2, 2026 results & picks →

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