TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Borges vs R. Jodar (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with R. Jodar favoured at 1.21.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Borges | R. Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.6% | 52.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
20.6% | 79.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.2% | 66.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
21.1% | 78.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
R. Jodar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | R. Jodar | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | O. Luz | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Musetti | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used