TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Bartunkova (moneyline) in N. Bartunkova vs B. Krejcikova (Wimbledon on 2026-07-03).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Bartunkova | B. Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.1% | 43.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Bartunkova | clay | 1676 | 72–40 | 112 |
| B. Krejcikova | hard | 1893 | 82–51 | 133 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
B. Krejcikova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 3, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 0 |
| W | B. Andreescu | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | Y. Yuan | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Siniakova | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All July 3, 2026 results & picks →
═══════════════════════════════════════════ N. Bartunkova (A) vs B. Krejcikova (B) Wimbledon · grass · 1/16-finals · 2026-07-03 ═══════════════════════════════════════════ MODELS ELO A 0.447 → favors B (agrees w/ market) ML A 0.561 → favors A (DISAGREES w/ market, +22pt) Model A 0.445 → ensemble leans B Market A 2.75 (impl 34.4%) / B 1.44 (impl 65.6%) Value pick A · edge +10.1% (post-shrink) · 0.25-Kelly ─────────────────────────────────────────── FORM — Bartunkova (A), grass surge W Siniakova (1766 Strong) 6-2 6-4 DOM W Stearns (1470 Weak) 4-6 6-3 7-5 GRIND L Sabalenka(1913 Elite) 2-6 7-6 4-6 (took a set) W Mertens (1774 Strong) 6-1 6-4 DOM W Shnaider (1719 Strong) 6-2 6-7 6-3 GRIND → Birmingham finalist; two DOM wins vs Strong on grass FORM — Krejcikova (B), ex-Wimbledon champ W Andreeva (1683 Strong) 4-6 7-5 6-4 GRIND (fightback) W Klugman (1512 Weak) 6-1 6-4 DOM L Birrell (1591 Avg) 3-6 6-7 flat Hertogenbosch final (WO withdrawal) + SF/QF sweep → solid, but recent quality-of-wins below A's ─────────────────────────────────────────── FATIGUE A: 3 matches/14d, ~258min court, last 07-01 B: 3 matches/14d, ~228min court, last 07-01 → Roughly equal; slight edge B on court time (<60min diff) NARRATIVE Let-down: none in window (A's last final 26d ago) Venue: Slam debut-tier for A; B has grass pedigree Title recency: none <14d ─────────────────────────────────────────── VERDICT — BET A 1.5u @2.75 ML flags +10% value on Bartunkova. Her DOM wins over Siniakova & Mertens (both ~1770) plus a set off Sabalenka show live grass form that outclasses her 34% implied price — the Krejcikova line looks reputation-heavy. ELO/ensemble still lean B, so size modest. Krejcikova the likelier winner (predicted), Bartunkova the value side. ═══════════════════════════════════════════