TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Fucsovics (moneyline) in A. Davidovich Fokina vs M. Fucsovics (Wimbledon on 2026-07-03).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Davidovich Fokina | M. Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.7% | 42.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
73.6% | 26.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Davidovich Fokina | grass | 1796 | 22–15 | 37 |
| M. Fucsovics | grass | 1727 | 25–15 | 40 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 5, 2026.
A. Davidovich Fokina leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 3, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 31, 2022 | US Open | hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 |
| March 4, 2021 | Rotterdam | hard | M. Fucsovics | 2 - 0 |
| W | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gea | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 3 - 0 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Atmane | 0 - 0 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Moutet | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 3 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
All July 3, 2026 results & picks →