TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Timofeeva vs E. Andreeva (Makarska on 2026-06-03) — the market is efficient, with M. Timofeeva favoured at 1.54.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Timofeeva | E. Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.0% | 67.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.2% | 62.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.5% | 40.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Timofeeva | hard | 1616 | 92–61 | 153 |
| E. Andreeva | hard | 1533 | 89–66 | 155 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
M. Timofeeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | Makarska | clay | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Haddad Maia | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | L. Gjorcheska | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Ristic | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Papamichail | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 3, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used