TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Kessler vs K. Volynets (Nottingham on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with M. Kessler favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kessler | K. Volynets |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.6% | 43.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.1% | 54.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.8% | 53.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.6% | 44.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kessler | hard | 1792 | 101–54 | 155 |
| K. Volynets | hard | 1758 | 111–90 | 201 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | K. Volynets | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 4, 2023 | ITF W60 Lexington, KY Women | hard | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 |
| W | C. Brace | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Sabalenka | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used