TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. McNally vs A. Ruzic (Nottingham on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with C. McNally favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. McNally | A. Ruzic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.7% | 45.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McNally | hard | 1736 | 85–66 | 151 |
| A. Ruzic | hard | 1784 | 114–50 | 164 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
C. McNally leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16, 2026 | Nottingham | grass | C. McNally | 2 - 0 |
| W | T. Maria | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Liutova | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ma | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Boisson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | P. Marcinko | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used