TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Boisson vs D. Yastremska (Nottingham on 2026-06-16) — the market is efficient, with D. Yastremska favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Boisson | D. Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
17.1% | 82.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.4% | 63.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.0% | 80.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
22.0% | 78.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Boisson | clay | 1739 | 82–39 | 121 |
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1707 | 86–81 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 26, 2026.
| L | A. Ruzic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 | May 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
All June 16, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used