TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Draper vs J. Pinnington Jones (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with J. Draper favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Draper | J. Pinnington Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.5% | 27.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.8% | 38.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.5% | 27.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.5% | 30.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Draper | hard | 1990 | 154–58 | 212 |
| J. Pinnington Jones | hard | 1646 | 74–50 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
J. Draper leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | J. Draper | 2 - 0 |
| L | U. Humbert | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | G. Diallo | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Pinnington Jones | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Giron | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 1 - 1 | April 13, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | J. Draper | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used