TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Fucsovics (moneyline) in M. Fucsovics vs L. Tien (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Fucsovics | L. Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.9% | 37.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.8% | 58.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.9% | 55.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.0% | 69.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fucsovics | grass | 1727 | 25–15 | 40 |
| L. Tien | grass | 1626 | 10–8 | 18 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.
M. Fucsovics leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 1 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 3 - 0 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Atmane | 0 - 0 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Moutet | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 3 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Vallejo | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 0 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | C. Ruud | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
All July 1, 2026 results & picks →