TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Chwalinska vs D. Parry (French Open on 2026-06-01) — the market is efficient, with M. Chwalinska favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Chwalinska | D. Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.7% | 36.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.2% | 25.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.2% | 61.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.7% | 41.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Chwalinska | clay | 1841 | 113–59 | 172 |
| D. Parry | clay | 1663 | 105–71 | 176 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 6, 2026.
M. Chwalinska leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 1, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Linette | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Shnaider | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | June 3, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All June 1, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used