TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Auger-Aliassime vs A. Tabilo (French Open on 2026-06-01) — the market is efficient, with F. Auger-Aliassime favoured at 1.58.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Auger-Aliassime | A. Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
37.0% | 63.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.7% | 41.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Auger-Aliassime | hard | 1996 | 169–85 | 254 |
| A. Tabilo | clay | 1825 | 125–68 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
F. Auger-Aliassime leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 1, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 0 |
| Oct. 4, 2025 | Shanghai | hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Prizmic | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Atmane | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Griekspoor | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Torres | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
All June 1, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used