TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Potapova vs A. Kalinskaya (French Open on 2026-06-01) — the market is efficient, with A. Potapova favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Potapova | A. Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.2% | 30.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
82.1% | 17.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.1% | 29.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Potapova | hard | 1713 | 81–83 | 164 |
| A. Kalinskaya | hard | 1880 | 126–78 | 204 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
A. Kalinskaya leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 1, 2026 | French Open | clay | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 14, 2022 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Williams | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 0 - 1 | June 11, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | J. Tjen | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Bencic | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Parry | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 1, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used