TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Khachanov vs A. Shevchenko (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with K. Khachanov favoured at 1.35.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Khachanov | A. Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.9% | 44.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.9% | 27.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
34.1% | 65.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.3% | 45.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.5% | 29.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Khachanov | hard | 1781 | 120–84 | 204 |
| A. Shevchenko | clay | 1681 | 128–89 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
K. Khachanov leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 24, 2026 | Dubai | hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 1 |
| May 10, 2024 | ATP Rome | clay | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 9, 2023 | ATP Metz | hard | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used