J. Ostapenko vs A. Ruzic — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 1, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Ruzic (moneyline) in J. Ostapenko vs A. Ruzic (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).

Surface grass Odds J. Ostapenko 1.25 · A. Ruzic 4.03

Bot bet

A. Ruzic (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: J. Ostapenko · A. Ruzic · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method J. Ostapenko A. Ruzic
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
67.0% 33.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
59.1% 40.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
48.8% 51.2%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
63.4% 36.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
76.3% 23.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
J. Ostapenko grass1797 35–1449
A. Ruzic grass1623 10–818

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.

Head to head

J. Ostapenko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 1, 2026WimbledongrassJ. Ostapenko2 - 0

Recent form

J. Ostapenko

L B. Bencic 0 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
L S. Kartal 2 - 0 Oct. 17, 2026
W D. Shnaider 0 - 2 Oct. 16, 2026
W L. Fernandez 1 - 2 Oct. 15, 2026
W J. Pegula 2 - 1 Oct. 14, 2026

A. Ruzic

L A. Eala 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W Xin. Wang 1 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W A. Charaeva 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
L C. Liu 1 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L K. Boulter 2 - 1 Oct. 23, 2026

All July 1, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →