TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J-L. Struff vs J. Lehecka (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with J. Lehecka favoured at 1.17.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J-L. Struff | J. Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.1% | 51.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.2% | 63.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.2% | 53.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.5% | 56.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.7% | 81.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J-L. Struff | hard | 1666 | 77–88 | 165 |
| J. Lehecka | hard | 1890 | 126–83 | 209 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
J. Lehecka leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | J. Lehecka | 2 - 0 |
| June 11, 2025 | Stuttgart | grass | J. Lehecka | 2 - 0 |
| May 29, 2023 | ATP French Open | clay | J. Lehecka | 3 - 2 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Navone | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 1 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | J. Munar | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Molcan | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used