TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in H. Hurkacz vs D. Altmaier (Halle on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with H. Hurkacz favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | H. Hurkacz | D. Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
89.4% | 10.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
83.4% | 16.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.2% | 23.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1777 | 125–81 | 206 |
| D. Altmaier | clay | 1741 | 128–82 | 210 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 19, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Halle | grass | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 |
| April 28, 2024 | ATP Madrid | clay | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 3 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Mensik | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Vukic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | R. Collignon | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Gaston | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used