TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Shelton vs N. Kyrgios (Halle on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with B. Shelton favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Shelton | N. Kyrgios |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.1% | 36.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.2% | 29.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Shelton | hard | 1936 | 144–68 | 212 |
| N. Kyrgios | hard | 1729 | 31–26 | 57 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
B. Shelton leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 7, 2025 | Others matches | — | B. Shelton | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | O. Virtanen | 3 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Fonseca | 0 - 3 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | B. Nakashima | 1 - 3 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | L. Miguel | 2 - 3 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | A. Walton | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Shimabukuro | 2 - 1 | June 11, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used