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F. Comesana vs J. Munar — Prediction & Analysis

Geneva · ATP Geneva - 1/8-finals · May 20, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Comesana vs J. Munar (Geneva on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with J. Munar favoured at 1.59.

Surface clay Odds F. Comesana 2.42 · J. Munar 1.59

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: F. Comesana · J. Munar · head-to-head record · Geneva

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method F. Comesana J. Munar
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
51.9% 48.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
43.9% 56.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
38.9% 61.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
44.9% 55.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
39.7% 60.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
F. Comesana clay1706 184–101285
J. Munar clay1693 115–79194

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 3, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 20, 2026GenevaclayJ. Munar2 - 0
Aug. 8, 2025CincinnatihardF. Comesana2 - 0

Recent form

F. Comesana

L D. Rincon 1 - 2 July 3, 2026
W D. Dedura 2 - 1 July 1, 2026
W M. Donald 2 - 0 June 30, 2026
L A. Moro Canas 1 - 2 June 22, 2026
L M. Berrettini 3 - 2 May 30, 2026

J. Munar

W R. Hijikata 2 - 0 Aug. 2, 2026
L D. Stricker 2 - 0 July 13, 2026
L J. Lehecka 3 - 1 July 4, 2026
W J. Fearnley 0 - 3 July 2, 2026
W F. Cerundolo 3 - 0 June 30, 2026

All May 20, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used