D. Yastremska vs J. Bouzas Maneiro — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 1, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Bouzas Maneiro (moneyline) in D. Yastremska vs J. Bouzas Maneiro (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).

Surface grass Odds D. Yastremska 2.00 · J. Bouzas Maneiro 1.92

Bot bet

J. Bouzas Maneiro (moneyline) · 0.6u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: D. Yastremska · J. Bouzas Maneiro · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Yastremska J. Bouzas Maneiro
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.4% 52.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
43.8% 56.2%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
46.5% 53.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.8% 53.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
49.0% 51.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Yastremska grass1669 19–1635
J. Bouzas Maneiro grass1721 13–922

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.

Head to head

J. Bouzas Maneiro leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 1, 2026WimbledongrassJ. Bouzas Maneiro2 - 1
May 16, 2026ParmaclayD. Yastremska2 - 1
Sept. 27, 2025BeijinghardJ. Bouzas Maneiro2 - 0
July 5, 2025WimbledongrassJ. Bouzas Maneiro2 - 1

Recent form

D. Yastremska

L Z. Sonmez 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Shi 2 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
W K. Volynets 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
W E. Jones 2 - 0 Oct. 25, 2026
W X. You 2 - 1 Oct. 24, 2026

J. Bouzas Maneiro

L C. Burel 0 - 2 Oct. 17, 2026
W P. Hercog 2 - 1 Oct. 16, 2026
W I. Burillo Escorihuela 2 - 1 Oct. 14, 2026
W M. Ivantsiv 2 - 0 Oct. 13, 2026
L A. Shubladze 0 - 2 Oct. 4, 2026

All July 1, 2026 results & picks →

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