TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Vekic vs A. Eala (Berlin on 2026-06-17) — the market is efficient, with D. Vekic favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Vekic | A. Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.9% | 51.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.5% | 41.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.6% | 48.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.1% | 48.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2026.
A. Eala leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 17, 2026 | Berlin | grass | A. Eala | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 14, 2026 | Kooyong | hard | A. Eala | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 6, 2026 | WTA Auckland | hard | A. Eala | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 1 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | J. Pegula | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used