TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Jeanjean (moneyline) in D. Snigur vs L. Jeanjean (Wimbledon on 2026-07-02).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Snigur | L. Jeanjean |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
73.6% | 26.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.1% | 28.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Snigur | hard | 1728 | 175–93 | 268 |
| L. Jeanjean | clay | 1691 | 111–70 | 181 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 9, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 |
| March 31, 2022 | W60 Croissy-Beaubourg | hard | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Tagger | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Aksu | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. Seidel | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Zhu | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Tubello | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All July 2, 2026 results & picks →
═══════════════════════════════════════════ D. Snigur vs L. Jeanjean — Wimbledon, grass, 1/32-finals (2026-07-02) ═══════════════════════════════════════════ MODELS ELO prob_A 0.581 (near coin-flip, mild Snigur lean) ML prob_A 0.736 (strong Snigur lean) Model prob_A 0.581 | Market implied_A 0.711 Odds A 1.30 / B 3.20 | Value pick B, edge +0.130 → Models do NOT mutually agree (ELO ~50/50 vs ML strong-A vs market heavy-A) FORM — SNIGUR (A), grass L 6/30 Wimb R64 vs Svitolina (1812 Strong) 5-7 2-6 LOSS L 6/22 Eastbourne R16 vs Kalinina (1613) 6-7 5-7 LOSS W 6/21 Eastbourne FINAL vs Marcinko (1481) 6-4 6-2 (title, 11d ago) W 6/20 Eastbourne SF vs Kenin (1601) 6-3 6-1 DOM W 6/12 vs Badosa (1739 Strong) 6-1 7-6 GRIND Read: peaked at Eastbourne title, then lost 2 of last 3 on grass incl. last match. FORM — JEANJEAN (B), grass W 6/30 Wimb R64 vs Erjavec (1596) 6-4 4-6 7-6 GRIND (3 sets, live win) W 6/25 Wimb FINAL vs Volynets (1659) 6-3 6-2 DOM (title 7d ago) W 6/24 SF vs Gorgodze (1500) 6-3 6-2 DOM Quality clay scalps: bt Haddad Maia (1700), Tomljanovic, Masarova. Read: hot grass run, beating solid opposition; won last match. FATIGUE Snigur: 4 matches/14d, 253 court-min, back-to-back 2, last 6/30 Jeanjean: 4 matches/14d, 308 court-min, back-to-back 2, last 6/30 Δcourt-time ~55min (<60) → roughly equal; Jeanjean carried a hard 3-setter 6/30. NARRATIVE Let-down: Jeanjean won Final 7d ago → WEAK (not a fresh let-down spot). Venue: Jeanjean live at Wimbledon (won R64 6/30, positive momentum). Snigur: title 11d ago, momentum since faded (2 grass losses). VERDICT — BET B (Jeanjean) @3.20, 1.0u Market prices Snigur at an aggressive 1.30 (71%) despite her losing 2 of last 3 on grass incl. her most recent match, while Jeanjean is on a live hot grass run with quality wins and won her last match. ELO agrees it is near a coin-flip, contradicting the heavy market price. Edge on the dog. Downsized to 1.0u: ML strongly backs Snigur and models don't mutually agree. ═══════════════════════════════════════════