TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Prizmic vs N. Djokovic (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with N. Djokovic favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Prizmic | N. Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.5% | 55.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.8% | 50.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.4% | 63.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Prizmic | clay | 1859 | 101–43 | 144 |
| N. Djokovic | hard | 2085 | 127–26 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 15, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | D. Prizmic | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 14, 2024 | ATP Australian Open | hard | N. Djokovic | 3 - 1 |
| L | A. Molcan | 1 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 1 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | R. Safiullin | 1 - 3 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 3 | July 1, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used