D. Parry vs A. Kalinskaya — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · WTA Wimbledon - 1/32-finals · July 1, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Parry (moneyline) in D. Parry vs A. Kalinskaya (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).

Surface grass Odds D. Parry 2.50 · A. Kalinskaya 1.53

Bot bet

D. Parry (moneyline) · 1.5u
Pending — published before the match, graded in public.
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: D. Parry · A. Kalinskaya · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Parry A. Kalinskaya
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
55.7% 44.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
35.3% 64.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
66.6% 33.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
55.7% 44.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
38.0% 62.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Parry grass1704 22–1335
A. Kalinskaya grass1702 18–1533

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 1, 2026.

Head to head

A. Kalinskaya leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 1, 2026WimbledongrassA. Kalinskaya2 - 1
April 24, 2025MadridclayA. Kalinskaya2 - 0

Recent form

D. Parry

L C. Bucsa 0 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L A. Eala 2 - 0 Oct. 19, 2026
L L. Tararudee 0 - 2 Oct. 12, 2026
L T. Preston 2 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026
L P. Stearns 0 - 2 Sept. 15, 2026

A. Kalinskaya

L Q. Zheng 1 - 1 Oct. 3, 2026
L E. Navarro 0 - 2 Sept. 7, 2026
W E. Svitolina 1 - 2 Sept. 5, 2026
W Xin. Wang 1 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Blinkova 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026

All July 1, 2026 results & picks →

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