TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Ruud vs Z. Svajda (Rome on 2026-05-08) — the market is efficient, with C. Ruud favoured at 1.05.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Ruud | Z. Svajda |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
92.8% | 7.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
71.5% | 28.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
85.1% | 14.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
83.1% | 16.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
90.5% | 9.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Kozlov | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 3 - 1 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Majchrzak | 3 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All May 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used