TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Tsitsipas (moneyline) at 3.35 in B. Shelton vs S. Tsitsipas (US Open on 2026-09-06). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Shelton | S. Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.7% | 33.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.9% | 36.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
61.4% | 38.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.4% | 34.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.1% | 30.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Shelton | hard | 2025 | 156–70 | 226 |
| S. Tsitsipas | hard | 1852 | 141–88 | 229 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 13, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 6, 2026 | US Open | hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 16, 2023 | ATP Cincinnati | hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 1 - 3 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Alcaraz | 3 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 3 - 1 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 3 - 0 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | J. Lehecka | 1 - 3 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | L. Harris | 1 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 3 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
All Sept. 6, 2026 results & picks →