TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Tsitsipas (moneyline) at 3.35 in B. Shelton vs S. Tsitsipas (US Open on 2026-09-06). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Shelton | S. Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.7% | 33.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.9% | 36.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
61.4% | 38.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.4% | 34.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.1% | 30.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Shelton | hard | 2016 | 162–73 | 235 |
| S. Tsitsipas | hard | 1881 | 150–91 | 241 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 8, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 6, 2026 | US Open | hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 16, 2023 | ATP Cincinnati | hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 1 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | N. Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Kukushkin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All Sept. 6, 2026 results & picks →