TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Krejcikova (moneyline) in B. Krejcikova vs M. Andreeva (Wimbledon on 2026-07-01).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Krejcikova | M. Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.6% | 29.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.1% | 46.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
35.9% | 64.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Krejcikova | hard | 1893 | 82–51 | 133 |
| M. Andreeva | hard | 1957 | 93–37 | 130 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
M. Andreeva leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 18, 2024 | WTA Ningbo | hard | M. Andreeva | 1 - 0 |
| Jan. 21, 2024 | WTA Australian Open | hard | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 1, 2023 | WTA Beijing | hard | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| July 6, 2023 | WTA Wimbledon | grass | M. Andreeva | 1 - 0 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
All July 1, 2026 results & picks →
MATCH: B. Krejcikova vs M. Andreeva — Wimbledon, grass, 1/32-finals (2026-07-01) MODELS: - ELO prob A: 70.6% | ML prob A: 42.7% | Model(blend) A: 53.1% - Market: A 35.9% (@2.70) / B 64.1% (@1.51) | value pick A, edge +17.2% - Models split: ELO loves A (grass), ML siding with market on B. Consensus 53% A. FORM — KREJCIKOVA (A), grass specialist / 2024 Wimbledon champion: - W vs Klugman (1512, Weak) 6-1 6-4 — DOM (Wimbledon R1) - L vs Birrell (1591) 3-6 6-7 (Eastbourne R1) — soft loss - L Hertogenbosch FINAL via Walk Over (withdrew; played since, healthy) - W vs Linette (1699, Strong) 6-3 7-6 — GRIND - W vs Ruse (1741, Strong) 6-1 6-2 — DOM vs Strong - W vs Vandewinkel (1553) 6-1 6-4 — DOM Read: legit grass quality, DOM over Strong opps, reached a grass final. FORM — ANDREEVA (B), clay phenom on weakest surface: - W vs Linette (1686, Strong) 7-5 6-4 (Wimbledon R1) — solid - L vs Alexandrova (1773) 3-6 4-6 (Bad Homburg R16) — grass stumble - W French Open FINAL vs Chwalinska 6-3 6-2 — DOM, GRAND SLAM TITLE 24d ago (clay) - Beat Swiatek/multiple clay finals — elite, but on CLAY. Read: phenomenal clay run, grass body of work thin (1 win, 1 R16 loss). FATIGUE: Roughly equal — both 2 matches/14d, court time 125 vs 132 min, both last played 06-29. NARRATIVE: - Let-down: Andreeva won French Open Final 24d ago (outside 7d window) — no active let-down, but emotional Slam win + surface switch is a real soft spot. - Surface: grass tightens this. Krejcikova proven grass threat; Andreeva unproven on grass. - Venue: neither has Wimbledon body of work in window beyond R1. VERDICT: BET A (Krejcikova) 1.5u @2.70. Genuine value spot — ELO + qualitative grass-specialist read both flag the market overweighting Andreeva's overall ranking/clay form while underpricing Krejcikova on her best surface. ML agreement with market + low confidence cap the stake below the bot's 2.5u. Andreeva still the more likely single-match winner, but at 2.70 the underdog has clear EV.