TennisEdge's AI bot is backing B. Bencic (moneyline) in B. Bencic vs A. Kalinskaya (Wimbledon on 2026-07-03).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Bencic | A. Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.7% | 29.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.5% | 38.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
72.8% | 27.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.7% | 29.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
63.6% | 36.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bencic | grass | 1836 | 26–11 | 37 |
| A. Kalinskaya | grass | 1702 | 18–15 | 33 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 5, 2026.
B. Bencic leads 5–1 over 6 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 3, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | B. Bencic | 2 - 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Rome | clay | A. Kalinskaya | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 7, 2025 | Adelaide | hard | B. Bencic | 1 - 0 |
| Jan. 11, 2023 | Adelaide 2 | hard | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 |
| June 16, 2022 | Berlin | grass | B. Bencic | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Kawa | 2 - 0 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Ostapenko | 0 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 0 - 2 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| W | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 1 - 1 | Oct. 3, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | E. Svitolina | 1 - 2 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | Xin. Wang | 1 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
All July 3, 2026 results & picks →