TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Rinderknech vs L. Djere (Geneva on 2026-05-20) — the market is efficient, with A. Rinderknech favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rinderknech | L. Djere |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
23.9% | 76.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.4% | 76.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.4% | 67.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.7% | 40.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rinderknech | hard | 1775 | 126–102 | 228 |
| L. Djere | clay | 1814 | 112–61 | 173 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Geneva | clay | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 |
| April 15, 2025 | Barcelona | clay | L. Djere | 2 - 1 |
| March 24, 2022 | Miami | hard | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 0 |
| July 23, 2021 | Gstaad | clay | L. Djere | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Baez | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 1 - 3 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Damm | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | H. Dellien | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | N. Waldner | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | M. Schoenhaus | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
All May 20, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used