Bet sheet archive · 25 October 2026
25 October 2026: 7 bets staked, settled 1W-5L. Every entry below was published before its match started.
Zhang only needs to avoid losing by five or more games, and the model gives her a 55% chance of covering that. Valentova is the higher-rated player but has underperformed market expectations lately and is also playing on back-to-back days.
T. Valentova won 2 - 0
Birrell has been beating market expectations over her last 10 matches and is rated clearly higher than a year ago, with a hard-court Elo of 1767 against 1714. Kasatkina has underdelivered lately and has played back-to-back days, with five matches in the past 14.
D. Kasatkina won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Jones has won three of her last five while Yastremska has taken two of five, a small form edge the pick leans on. Yastremska has also underdelivered against market expectations lately, including a loss as favourite, and both players arrive on back-to-back days.
D. Yastremska won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Garland has beaten market expectations over her last 10 matches and won four of her last five, and her hard-court Elo sits level with Prozorova's. Prozorova has played on back-to-back days recently, which could leave her short on energy here.
T. Prozorova won 2 - 1 · Beat the closing price
Zakharova is rated clearly higher than a year ago, and her hard-court Elo sits well above Kostovic's, a gap the market looks to be underrating. Kostovic has been beating expectations lately, which suggests her results are running ahead of her level. Zakharova's heavy recent workload and slightly shaky form are the risks.
T. Kostovic won 2 - 0 · Beat the closing price
Rybakina has beaten the market's expectations over her last 10 matches and is rated well above where she stood a year ago. Fernandez has played 6 matches in two weeks, so fatigue could catch up with her.
E. Rybakina won 2 - 0 · Did not beat the closing price
Machac has played six matches in two weeks, including back-to-back days, and has underperformed market expectations lately. That fatigue and form dip make a near coin-flip look underpriced, even with Marozsan trailing 0-2 in their meetings.
T. Machac won Walk Over
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